Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.602358 0.690351 0.785940 0.897390 1.023662 1.162184 1.325560
2025-01-26 0.479012 0.600469 0.743687 0.924588 1.146539 1.409501 1.744197
2025-02-02 0.395775 0.538765 0.720508 0.967365 1.292723 1.705557 2.267632
2025-02-09 0.319829 0.470421 0.675715 0.973986 1.393851 1.960978 2.781706
2025-02-16 0.259708 0.410759 0.630592 0.970553 1.478967 2.206038 3.318126
2025-02-23 0.214606 0.363310 0.593326 0.970196 1.566068 2.463814 3.907762
2025-03-02 0.178600 0.322388 0.557896 0.965150 1.643165 2.714939 4.520110
2025-03-09 0.153666 0.294492 0.537744 0.979883 1.751701 3.026460 5.265364
2025-03-16 0.129734 0.263413 0.506418 0.969653 1.815547 3.271794 5.932297
2025-03-23 0.114847 0.246006 0.495933 0.993663 1.940708 3.633698 6.839086
2025-03-30 0.098380 0.222156 0.469189 0.982647 1.999503 3.884845 7.579445
2025-04-06 0.086760 0.205908 0.454270 0.991539 2.095908 4.213887 8.498366
2025-04-13 0.073563 0.183900 0.424534 0.967091 2.125962 4.426934 9.235383
2025-04-20 0.067385 0.176603 0.424748 1.005514 2.289462 4.919063 10.575695
2025-04-27 0.062872 0.172368 0.431018 1.058147 2.490363 5.510326 12.185276
2025-05-04 0.056191 0.161346 0.419827 1.069529 2.603013 5.933170 13.497757
2025-05-11 0.049710 0.149441 0.404432 1.068502 2.687407 6.305750 14.746923
2025-05-18 0.044236 0.139065 0.390968 1.069891 2.777359 6.700573 16.089406
2025-05-25 0.039227 0.128890 0.376191 1.065512 2.852674 7.070951 17.418965
2025-06-01 0.035726 0.122390 0.370037 1.082454 2.982781 7.582018 19.127247
2025-06-08 0.031625 0.113093 0.354498 1.071709 3.041012 7.929956 20.491610
2025-06-15 0.029270 0.108863 0.352642 1.098430 3.200560 8.540420 22.551392
2025-06-22 0.026000 0.100803 0.338047 1.086532 3.254990 8.897011 24.027921